The Jacksonville Jaguars travel to the AL West champions in the 2023 NFL playoff divisional round on Saturday as they look to end a long losing streak against the Kansas City Chiefs. Since winning 24-21 in 2009, Jacksonville (10-8) has lost six straight to Kansas City, including a 27-17 decision on the road in Week 10. The AFC South champion Jaguars will go all out against the Kansas City Chiefs (14-3), who lead 4-0 in the divisional round with Patrick Mahomes as their starting quarterback.
Kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. In Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Chiefs vs. Jaguars odds, Kansas City is the nine-point favorite with an over/under total at 52.5. Before locking up any Jaguars vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven forecasting models.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has increased in price by more than $7,000 for a $100 top NFL draft player since its launch. The model enters the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs with an incredible 162-113 record that goes back to the top NFL picks of the 2017 season. It’s also 16-6 among top NFL draft picks since Week 7 of the season.
The model has ranked in the top 10 of NFLPickWatch four times in a row over the past six NFL drafts, and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who follows it will rise.
Now, the model has its sights set on Saturday’s game between the Chiefs and the Jaguars, locking in its draft picks and NFL playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine right now to see a great selection of models. Here are the Jaguars vs. Chiefs NFL odds and betting lines:
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: Kansas City -9
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars Over/Under: 52.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars odds line: Kansas City -550, Jacksonville +400
- KC: Chiefs are 1-7-1 in last nine home games
- JAX: Jaguars 1-5-1 ATS in last seven games vs. Kansas City
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars draft picks: Check out the picks here
featured games | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Why the Chiefs Can Cover
Mahomes has excelled in the NFL playoffs during his career, leading Kansas City to an 8-3 record and a Super Bowl title. The 27-year-old passed for 3,381 yards, 28 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 11 postseason games while running for 323 yards and five scores. Mahomes was solid in the Chiefs’ 27-17 win over Jacksonville in Week 10, completing 26 of 35 attempts for 331 yards and four touchdowns.
Kansas City led the regular season in passing offense (297.8 yards), while Mahomes led the NFL in yards (a career-high 5,250) and touchdowns (41). The team had four players with more than 500 receiving yards, and tight end Travis Kelce ranked eighth in the league with 1,338 receiving yards and a career-high 110 receptions. Wideouts JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 933 and 687 yards, respectively, in their first season with the Chiefs, while running back Jerick McKinnon had 512 catches and nine TD catches, including his most recent One in six games. See which team to pick here.
why jaguars can cover
Jacksonville has been on top since losing at Kansas City in November, going 7-1 after bouncing back from a 27-point deficit to a 31-30 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers during Super Wild Card Weekend. With that win, the Jaguars became the first team in NFL history to win the playoffs after posting the league’s worst record last season. In his playoff debut, Trevor Lawrence overcame a miserable first half against the Chargers, throwing four interceptions in the game for 288 yards and four touchdown passes.
The No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Lawrence has led Jacksonville to six straight victories after starting his career with a 7-22 record. The Jaguars provided the 23-year-old quarterback with a steady stream of receivers last offseason, bringing in tight end Evan Engram and tight end Christian Kirk and Zay J. Jones, who set career highs in both receiving and receiving yards. Meanwhile, Lawrence’s teammate at Clemson, Travis Etienne Jr, added 1,125 yards after missing his rookie season with a foot injury, bolstering the team’s ground offense. See which team to pick here.
How to select the Chiefs vs. Jaguars draft pick
SportsLine’s model tends to be Under the point total, requiring a total score of 50. The model also said that in more than 50% of the simulations, one side of the propagation hit. You can only see a selection of models on SportsLine.
So who wins the Jaguars-Chiefs game in the 2023 NFL playoffs? Which side of the spread is affected 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side the Chiefs vs. Jaguars play out on Saturday, all from premium models whose top NFL picks cost well over $7,000, and find out.
